x Abu Dhabi, UAESaturday 20 January 2018

Dubai World Cup racecard analysis and predictions

From the opening Kahayla Classic to the US$10m Dubai World Cup — The National predicts who will come out on top at Meydan.

Transcend, the Japanese horse, on his morning gallop at Meydan Racecourse yesterday in preparation for the Dubai World Cup.
Transcend, the Japanese horse, on his morning gallop at Meydan Racecourse yesterday in preparation for the Dubai World Cup.

The racecard, analysis and predictions for the Dubai World Cup.

For more previews from The National click here.

Kahayla Classic, Purebred Arabians, 4.35pm
2,000m Group 1 on all-weather track, purse US$250,000
PP Horse Trainer Jockey Weight (kg)

Rating
1 Paris Gagner (Fr)

D Watson

R Mullin

57

108

2 Dariya (Fr)

S Deeb W Smith

57 108
3 Periander (NL) G Duffield

W Smith

57 110

4 Albar Lotois (Fr)

E Lemartinel

G Avranche

57

113
5 Nieshan (Fr) E Lemartinel D O'Donohoe

57 116

6 Rabah de Carrere (Fr) G Duffield K Fallon

57 111
7 Dynamite (UAE) A Aghbash

R Ffrench

57 115
8 Shadiyda (Fr) M Al Jahouri

T Ducan

57 115
9 No Risk Al Maury (Fr) G Duffield R Hills

57 122
10 Kandar du Falgas (Fr) D Watson

T O'Shea

57 110
11 Fryvolous (Fr)

A al Ketbi D Badel

57 117
12 Santhal (Fr) E Charpy

W Supple

57 111
13 Seraphin Du Paon (Fr) P Barbe

O Preslier

57 117
14

Nirwan (Fr)

D Watson

P Dobbs

57 110

 

Analysis: Paris Gagner and Santhal should set the tempo, with No Risk Al Maury, Nieshan and Periander making late moves. Seraphin Du Paon will likely move last, but has the acceleration to run them down in the final 400 metres.

Prediction: 1 Seraphin Du Paon, 2 Nieshan, 3 No Risk Al Maury

 

Al Quoz Sprint, Thoroughbreds, 5.15pm
1,000m Group 2 on turf, purse $1 million
PP Horse Trainer Jockey Weight (kg)

Rating
1 Picadilly Fully (Ire) E Creighton E Creighton 55

106

2 Happy Dubai (Ire) A Al Raihe

R Ffrench

57 113
3 Spin Cycle (Ire) S Seemar

R Mullen

57 110

4 Better Be The One (Aus) M Freedman

D Beasley

57

110
5 Prohibit (GB) R Cowell

L Dettori

57 112

6 Monsieur Joe (Ire) W Swimburn

J Spencer

57 112
7 Mar Adentro (Fr) R Chotard

C Soumillon

57 110
8 Invisible Ash (Ire)

M Halford

J Murtagh

55 107
9 War Artist (Aus) R Collet

O Pesiler

57 116
10 Quick Enough (US) D O'Neill

R Bejarano 57 108
11 JJ The Jet Plane (SAf) M Houdalakis

B Fayd’Herbe 57 117
12 Sole Power (GB) E Lynam

W Lordan

57 117
13 Inxile (Ire) D Nicholls

A Nicholls

57 108
14 Stradivinsky (US) R Dutrow Jr

J Leparoux

57 110
15 Triple Aspect (Ire) W Haggas

R Moore

57 107
16 Mr Gruff (US) R Ellis

J Rosario

57 111

 

Analysis: How to stop JJ The Jet Plane? He is looking better than ever at the age of seven. Others to watch out for are the American challenger Quick Enough and Great Britain’s Sole Power.

Prediction: 1 JJ The Jet Plane, 2 Quick Enough, 3 Sole Powe

 

Godolphin Mile, Thoroughbreds, 5.50pm
1,600m Group 2 on all-weather track, purse $1 million
PP Horse Trainer Jockey Weight (kg)

Rating
1 Mufarrh (Ire)

A Al Raihe

R Hills

57

112

2 Conveyance (US)

S Seemar

R Mullen

57 113
3 Premio Loco (US)

C Wall

G Baker

57 119

4 As De Trebol (US) M Delcher

O Pesiler

57

110
5 Imbongi (SAf)

M de Kock

C Soumillon

57 113

6 Red Jazz (US)

B Hills

M Hills

57 120
7 Crowded House (GB) B Cecil

J Rosario

57 112
8 Zafeen Speed (GB) M Al Muhairi W Smith

57 111
9 Make Music For Me (US) A Barba

M Smith

57 113
10 I Want Revenge (US) R Dutrow Jr

R Dominguez

57 110
11 Hearts Of Fire (GB) I Al Malki J Murtagh 57 112
12 Rileyskeepingfaith (GB) M al Zarooni A Ajtebi 57 115
13 Skysurfers (GB) S bin Suroor L Dettori 57 115
14

Le Drakkar (Aus) A bin Huzaim C Lemaire 57 113

 

Analysis: Skysurfers put up a career best effort when beating Musir last time, but needs a break to be at his best. Rileyskeepingfaith has progressed since being with trainer Mahmood al Zarooni, but Premio Loco and Red Jazz could beat them both if taking to the Tapeta all-weather surface.

Prediction: 1 Red Jazz, 2 Premio Loco, 3 Skysurfers

 

Analysis: How to stop JJ The Jet Plane? He is looking better than ever at the age of seven. Others to watch out for are the American challenger Quick Enough and Great Britain’s Sole Power.

Prediction: 1 JJ The Jet Plane, 2 Quick Enough, 3 Sole Powe

 

UAE Derby, Thoroughbreds, 6.25pm
1,900m Group 2 on all-weather track, purse $2 million
PP Horse Trainer Jockey Weight (kg)

Rating
1 Reem (Aus) 

M de Kock K Shea 57.5kg 107
2 Alexander Pope (Ire) A O’Brien J Spencer 54.5 100
3 Splash Point (US) M Al Zarooni J Murtagh 54.5 104
4 Ahlaain (US) D Simcock C Lemaire 54.5 102
5 Mahbooba (Aus) M de Kock C Soumillon 57.5 112
6 Sweet Ducky (US) H Brown T Queally 54.5 110
7 Introvert (Ire) M Al Zarooni A Ajtebi 54.5 104
8 Zanzamar (SAf) M de Kock R Hills 59.5 104
9 Master Of Hounds (US) A O’Brien R Moore 54.5 113
10 Laser Bullet (Jpn) K Hagiwara S Fujita 54.5 102
11 Khawlah (Ire) S bin Suroor M Barzalona 52.5 113
12 Utley (US) J Gosden W Buick 54.5 110
13 Xin Xu Lin (Bra) M al Zarooni L Dettori 59.5 115
14 Mantoba (GB) B Meehan M Dwyer 54.5 105

 

Analysis: Mahmood al Zarooni’s Xin Xu Lin is drawn poorly in stall 13, especially for a front-runner, but is the class horse in the race. Reem, Mahbooba and Khawlah bid to become the first fillies to win the UAE Derby, and they could be slugging it out at the finish.

Prediction: 1 Khawlah, 2 Mahbooba, 3 Reem

 

Golden Shaheen, Thoroughbreds, 7.05pm
1,200m Group 1 on all-weather track, purse $2 million
PP Horse Trainer Jockey Weight (kg)

Rating
1 Kinsale King (US)

C O’Callaghan R Bejarano 57 119
2 Dim Sum (GB) 

J Moore D Beadman 57 115
3

Charlie’s Moment

(US)

S bin Suroor L Dettori 57 108
4 Force Freeze (US)

D Watson K Fallon 57 108
5 Dynamic Blitz (Aus) R Yiu O Doleuze 57 113
6 Sunny King (Ire) J Moore G Mosse 57 115
7 Euroears (US) B Baffert M Smith 57 113
8 Escape Route (US) S Seemar R Mullen 57 111
9 Rocket Man (Aus) P Shaw F Coetzee 57 121
10 Green Birdie (NZ) C Fownes B Prebble 57 116

 

Analysis: This will be fast and furious. Bob Baffert’s Euroears is going to blaze a trial, while the jockeys of Kinsale King and Rocket Man will need to decide whether to match that one stride for stride or slot in just behind. With so much pace in the race, watch out for the hold-up horses Sunny King and Green Birdie.

Prediction: 1 Kinsale King, 2 Rocket Man, 3 Sunny King

 

Dubai Duty Free, Thoroughbreds, 7.45pm
1,800m Group 1 on turf, purse $5 million
PP Horse Trainer Jockey Weight (kg)

Rating
1 Debussy (Ire) M al Zarooni

A Ajtebi

57

120

2 Beauty Flash (NZ)

T Cruz

G Mosse

57 118
3 River Jetez (SAf)

M de Kock

B Fayd’Herbe 55 110

4 Royal Bench (Ire)

R Collet

O Pesiler

57

116
5 Wigmore Hall (Ire)

M Bell

J Spencer

57 117

6 Presvis (GB)

L Cumani

R Moore

57 120
7 Mendip (US)

S bin Suroor

L Dettori

57 117
8 Strawberrydaiquiri (GB) F Nass

J Murtagh

55 113
9 Bankable (Ire)

H Brown

K Shea

57 116
10 Rajsaman (Fr) F Head

K Fallon

57 115
11 Beethoven (Ire)

A Kobeissi

S Sanders

57 117
12 Better Than Ever (Aus) L Laxon

S Jumaat

57 119
13 Tazeez (US)

J Gosden

T O'Shea

57 118
14 Victor's Cry (US)

E Harty

V Espinoza

57 115
15 Derbaas (US)

A Al Raihe R Hills 57 115
16 Raihana (Aus)

M de Kock

C Soumillon

55 113

 

Analysis: A wide open contest. Local trainer Ali Rashid al Raihe has reason to be hopeful with the improving Derbaas, while the consistent pair of Tazeez and Bankable can be relied upon. Presvis will need the breaks he did not get last year but Wigmore Hall and Mendip have the improvement to be real stars.

Prediction: 1 Mendip, 2 Wigmore Hall, 3 Better Than Ever

 

Sheema Classic, Thoroughbreds, 8.50pm
2,410m Group 1 on turf, purse $5 million
PP Horse Trainer Jockey Weight (kg)

Rating
1 Laaheb (GB) R Varian R Hills 57 115
2 Deem (Ire) J Barton O Peslier 55 115
3 Chinchon (Ire) C Laffon-Parias G Mosse 57 115

4 Calvados Blues (Fr) M al Zarooni A Ajtebi 57 112
5 Redwood (GB) B Hills M Hills 57 115
6 Irish Flame (SAf) M de Kock K Shea 57 116
7 Champ Pegasus (US) R Mandella J Rosario 57 118
8 Rewilding (GB) M al Zarooni L Dettori 56.5 121
9 Bourbon Bay (US) N Drysdale R Bejarano 57 115
10 Rulership (Jpn) K Sumii C Soumillon 56.5 117
11 Marinous (Fr) F Head K Fallon 57 117
12 Dangerous Midge (US) B Meehan M Dwyer 57 122
13 Al Shemali (GB) A al Raihe R Ffrench 57 115
14 King Dancer (Ire) S Woods R Moore 57 113

 

Analysis: Eight of the last 10 winners of this race were successful in their previous race. That would suggest that only Laaheb, Champ Pegasus, Rulership, and Dangerous Midge can be in the mix. If Rewilding is in any sort of form after his 196-day lay-off he would hold serious claims, too.

Prediction: 1 Rulership, 2 Dangerous Midge, 3 Rewilding

 

Dubai World Cup, Thoroughbreds, 9.35pm
2,000m Group 1 on all weather track, purse $10 million
PP Horse Trainer Jockey Weight (kg)

Rating
1 Fly Down (US) N Zito J Leparoux 57 123
2 Monterosso (GB) M al Zarooni M Barzalona 57 115
3 Prince Bishop (Ire) S bin Suroor A Ajtebi 57 117
4 Cape Blanco (Ire) A O’Brien J Spencer 57 126
5 Gio Ponti (US) C Clement R Dominguez 57 121
6 Victoire Pisa (Jpn) K Sumii M Demuro 57 121
7 Musir (Aus) M de Kock C Soumillon 57 117
8 Gitano Hernando (GB) M Botti J Murtagh 57 118
9 Transcend (Jpn) T Yasuda S Fujita 57 126
10 Poet’s Voice (GB) S bin Suroor L Dettori 57 122
11 Richard’s Kid (US) S Seemar R Mullen 57 119
12 Twice Over (GB) H Cecil T Queally 57 125
13 Buena Vista (Jpn) H Matsuda R Moore 57 121
14 Golden Sword (GB) M de Kock K Shea 57 117

 

Analysis: Twice Over has everything going for him and can only improve on his Maktoum Challenge victory. The Japanese horses will be hard to beat, especially Buena Vista with her weight allowance. Poet’s Voice could run a huge race now Saeed bin Suroor has taught him to relax.

Prediction: 1 Twice Over, 2 Buena Vista, 3 Victoire Pisa

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